The election is now over and we have a new President getting ready to take office in January.
Please post your predictions/expectations of the coming four years. Try to include time lines in your post and we will see how accurate the forum members are at predicting the events of the next four years.
I'll start:
1) I am hoping that the Republican party will take a good long look at itself and realize that we are no longer living in the 1950's. The nuclear family is dead and it is high time for the Republicans to understand this and move on. Family values is no longer mom, dad and 2.4 kids. A family is any close knit group of individuals who look after each other and care for those in the group who need to be cared for (kids and elderly).
2) I am hoping that the Democrats realize that Obama was elected on a ticket of change that translates to "stop all the partisan bickering and obstructionism and get some shit done!" Towards the end Obama moved toward the center and that is where he should govern from. If the Democrats try to go too far to the left and run rough-shod over the Republicans we will see a repeat of 1994.
3) I am hoping that pissed off Republicans do not emulate the actions of pissed off Democrats. I did not like seeing the "he's not my president" bumper stickers on Democrat cars and I don't want to see them on Republican cars either.
Damn... lunch hour is up...
Comments
I agree. Well, at least, those are my hopes for the coming term. That, and a real start towards some kind of universal health care.
As an addendum, I hope in the coming years we can see real progress towards equal treatment of homosexuals. The recent ballot initiatives in Arizona, Florida and California have been a major setback, but Obama's outspoken distaste for the Defense of Marriage Act should be seen as a huge positive.
Of course, "left" and "right" are themselves conflations of numerous unrelated ideologies that are almost useless in all but the most general of discussions.
Seriously. If you have any goodwill towards George W. Bush, riddle me this: What good did he accomplish in his eight years?
1. The First year will be mainly dedicated to keeping the financial balance. the Dollar is on a continues crash and the economy lags behind it. Don't expect many tax changes, as the government has no immediate plans to redraw from either Iraq or Afghanistan, which means it's still bound to throwing millions of dollars on obscure foreign policy.
2. In 2-2.5 years the US will pull out of Iraq. First in an orderly manner, but in a week or two it will all collapse. The Iraqi government is too weak and will collapse, while random bombing attacks will chase the leaving American forces. This will still be good for the US.
Pulling the forces out of Afghanistan will take place in about the same time, as there's no point playing the law enforcer when you leave the main outpost, which gets all the media spotlights.
3. International relations - Obama's years will be characterized by relative withdrawal from the global community because:
a. The public won’t allow partaking in another military conflict.
b. The government will attempt to reduce the budget, which will lead to reduce foreign investments.
c. No funds - no Kyoto Protocol. The government will push to finding alternative energy resources, but this effort won't be any different from those who came before him.
4. Political balance won't change much, simply because it depends more on the voting regions than the voters themselves. However, the national world view will change to the left, as Bush's mistakes showed the public the dangers of extremist right wing view.
This means improvement in gay rights, more privacy, more government information disclosure, more equality in spending of national funds, and so on. The health care system won't improve, as it's heavily depended on the depleting national treasury.
Guantanamo will keep on operating, simply because it has to, and there are no legal alternatives at this point.
5. Prepare for a failed attempt on Obama's life. The perpetrators will be caught while still in preparations. Reds can't do it right.
6. The US culture will continue to dominate and spread it's moral values, but this will begin to decrease in the fourth year.
Not significantly, but this hegemony will be broken by China's rise, and the stabilization of socialist governments in south America.