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2012 Presidential Election

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  • Should we... celebrate after next PAX?
    I can provide assistance and tutorials if required.

    Also, Sheep Dip is a wonderful post-election Scotch.
  • A 3rd party sprouting up is looking a bit more likely now.
  • I get the feeling that there will be restructuring in the GOP and the Tea Party will spin off and become it's own party with it's own candidate.
  • edited November 2012
    It would be nice if that happened, and resulted in electoral reform (since such electoral reform would likely be in the interests of the GOP and Tea Party).
    Post edited by lackofcheese on
  • edited November 2012
    We've tested the model, and it's a loser
    Whoa. He didn't mince any words in the interview I just watched.
    Post edited by Starfox on
  • edited November 2012
    A toast, to you Americans, from me.

    (Yamazaki 12 year old, on the rocks)
    Jacob's creek St Hugo Cab Sav here, but it was a close race between that and a glass of Bollinger Special Cuvée. Just one, though, I have to make a delivery later.
    Post edited by Churba on
  • edited November 2012
    The interesting question for defense attorneys is . . . do you really want to lose all that business from marijuana defendants?

    I love marijuana cases. They're usually pretty easy, you can usually get a pretty favorable result, and you can usually get a pretty good fee for the work you do. If you lose that, it kinda hurts business.

    I like the gay marriage thing because, as I've said many times before, more marriage inevitably means more divorce, which is good for business. I just finished a custody dispute between a lesbian couple and a gay man concerning a child who was conceived with the gay guy's sperm for a decent chunk of change. That case would have been impossible ten years ago.
    Post edited by HungryJoe on
  • Well my old best friend from high school just made me sad. She later deleted her post so I couldn't make that last reply.

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  • davidfrum ‏@davidfrum
    Horrible possibility: if the geeks are right about Ohio, might they also be right about climate?
    Retweeted by Daryl Surat

    Well, someone at least finally seems to be getting it.
  • edited November 2012
    Only half reporting in so far though. How is the local predictions pointing?
    Post edited by Alan on
  • It's so close now, essentially 50/50, and it started with Bachman with a lead. Fingers crossed the tie breaks against her.

  • Obama says Ohio gozaimasu!
  • edited November 2012
    The ND Senate seat is leaning Democratic with 96% reporting - this could be something to tease Nate Silver about, given that his model had it at 92% chance of Republican Victory.

    The Democrats could end up with as many as 55 Senate seats, the way things are looking at the moment.
    Post edited by lackofcheese on
  • Where is the best place to go to for a summary of what ballot measures have been accepted and defeated in what states? (e.g. like weed and gay marriage in Washington, and the anti-death-penalty measure in california?)
  • edited November 2012
    Just so glad the political ads are over with. Going to enjoy driving to work without a candidate closing I77 again.
    Where is the best place to go to for a summary of what ballot measures have been accepted and defeated in what states? (e.g. like weed and gay marriage in Washington, and the anti-death-penalty measure in california?)
    Local news channels are usually a good bet.
    Post edited by Alan on
  • The ND Senate seat is leaning Democratic with 96% reporting - this could be something to tease Nate Silver about, given that his model had it at 92% chance of Republican Victory.

    The Democrats could end up with as many as 55 Senate seats, the way things are looking at the moment.
    Why is that something to tease him about? He said there was an 8% chance of victory for the Dems. He didn't say it was impossible for the Dems.
  • edited November 2012
    Where is the best place to go to for a summary of what ballot measures have been accepted and defeated in what states? (e.g. like weed and gay marriage in Washington, and the anti-death-penalty measure in california?)
    http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/Measures/2012/
    Post edited by lackofcheese on
  • Please please please please shut up now. Let us take four years to concentrate on nerdiness and let politics be what it be.
  • edited November 2012
    Why is that something to tease him about? He said there was an 8% chance of victory for the Dems. He didn't say it was impossible for the Dems.
    I was kidding. If anything, it would speak worse for his model if he got every >50% prediction correct, as this would point to underconfidence and hence poor calibration.
    Post edited by lackofcheese on
  • Scott: 11/7 Wrap this stuff up were done.
  • Please please please please shut up now. Let us take four years to concentrate on nerdiness and let politics be what it be.
    So, how are the polls looking for the 2016 primaries?

  • To clarify, that shut up wasn't directed at this thread. It was for the whole world.
  • Please please please please shut up now. Let us take four years to concentrate on nerdiness and let politics be what it be.
    So, how are the polls looking for the 2016 primaries?

    We're looking at 60% Hillary Clinton, 38% Donald Trump, and 2% Alf.

  • Nate Silver predicts that Hilary Clinton has won the 2016 election over Jeb Bush.
  • edited November 2012
    To clarify, that shut up wasn't directed at this thread. It was for the whole world.
    No, now someone needs to mash up the Obama FTW speech, and hopefully do it Oppa style.

    Andrew - Has Nate Silver made a deal with the devil? I've never seen anyone more consistently correct in his predictions. Maybe he's made a deal with Statistics.
    Post edited by HungryJoe on
  • Please please please please shut up now. Let us take four years to concentrate on nerdiness and let politics be what it be.
    So, how are the polls looking for the 2016 primaries?

    We're looking at 60% Hillary Clinton, 38% Donald Trump, and 2% Alf.

    A cat on every table and Bouillabaseball in every park. ALF '16.

    Seriously, though. It's going to be Broodax.
  • In serious seriousness there is only one politician I am currently aware of that I would enthusiastically support to the point of maybe even campaigning. That person is Jared Polis.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jared_Polis
  • Polis looks like someone I could support.
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